2 Aug · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1713
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kadavy
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1689
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorisek
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H14-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.