3 Aug · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1504
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vodal
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1420
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (64)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H29-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-14)