3 Aug · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1604
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pawlik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1543
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H10-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)