3 Aug · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1507
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1566
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sindler🌟Sindler covers set handicap as underdog 74% (47)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H16-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)