3 Aug · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1492
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1554
FormWLLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H28-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-13)