3 Aug · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1529
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sulc
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1508
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sykora🌟Sykora covers set handicap as underdog 67% (60)
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H13-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.