3 Aug · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1481
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1566
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Chlad covers set handicap as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)