3 Aug · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1543
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krupnik
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1514
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (53)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H25-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.