3 Aug · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1620
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skvrna
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1520
FormWWWLL
58%
42%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (89)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)