3 Aug · 14:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1513
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Krcil
JH
🇨🇿Jaroslav Hajek
ELO 1510
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.