3 Aug · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1514
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1604
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H12-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)