3 Aug · 13:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jaroslav Hajek
ELO 1510
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hajek
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1460
FormWWWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Hajek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.