3 Aug · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1537
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1621
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H54-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-29)