3 Aug · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1481
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1507
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (46)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.