3 Aug · 08:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1520
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1543
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (53)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.