3 Aug · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1620
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Skvrna
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1514
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (89)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)