3 Aug · 10:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1504
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vodal
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1492
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (64)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H20-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.