3 Aug · 11:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1490
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Macurak
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1542
FormLLWLW
46%
54%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.