3 Aug · 14:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1556
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Benes
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1542
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Macurak🌟Macurak covers set handicap as underdog 73% (26)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H13-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.