3 Aug · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1620
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skvrna
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1596
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pribyl🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (89)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.