3 Aug · 09:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1499
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1641
FormWLLLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+142
H2H99-70
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (99-70)