3 Aug · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1633
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lysakowski
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1574
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H49-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)