3 Aug · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1496
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vavricka
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1437
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Kabelka goes over total as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)