3 Aug · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1638
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1685
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H26-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.