3 Aug · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1539
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1573
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gembala🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (23)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.