3 Aug · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇨🇿Patrik Klusacek
ELO 1323
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kabelka
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1437
FormWWLWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kabelka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H15-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-6)