3 Aug · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1573
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1685
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H30-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-27)