3 Aug · 20:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1489
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1464
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H8-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.