3 Aug · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1569
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mrowetz
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1536
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Macurak🌟Macurak covers set handicap as underdog 73% (26)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.