3 Aug · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1512
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1548
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Konvicka covers set handicap as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.