3 Aug · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1631
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stepien
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1574
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H28-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)