3 Aug · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1593
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gola
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1493
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H116-74
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (116-74)