3 Aug · 20:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1517
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jancak
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1464
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Jancak goes over total as favourite 67% (48)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H8-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.