3 Aug · 22:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1369
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chmelicek
PK
🇨🇿Patrik Klusacek
ELO 1323
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Chmelicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 19% (16)
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H22-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.