3 Aug · 20:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1437
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kabelka
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1369
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Chmelicek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 38% (16)
Fair odds · Kabelka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H16-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)