3 Aug · 16:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1555
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lovl
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1532
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Lovl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.