3 Aug · 20:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1594
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Prochazka
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1546
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Prochazka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.