3 Aug · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1460
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1541
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Moravec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (35)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)