3 Aug · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1740
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1806
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vanek🌟Vanek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (61)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H66-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-39)