3 Aug · 20:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1594
FormLLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Vanek
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1740
FormWLLWL
38%
62%
🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 79% (24)
Fair odds · Vanek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~72 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+146
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)