3 Aug · 20:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1594
FormLLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1806
FormWWWWW
33%
67%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prochazka🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 79% (24)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+212
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)