03 Aug · 13:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1511
1-3Final setsLovl won
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1570
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lovl at 52%. The actual result was Jan Lovl 1-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Lovl favoured — closing 1.67
Set handicap
Jan Lovl −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Lovl −4.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Krcil is favoured to win, below means Jan Lovl.
▲ Tomas Krcilpre 51% → final 100%
Jan Lovl ▼
Biggest swing 98 ptsKrcil recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games