3 Aug · 20:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1509
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Travnicek
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1508
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Travnicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (27)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.