3 Aug · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1586
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cizek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1509
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H9-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)