3 Aug · 22:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1429
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1538
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H94-72
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (94-72)