3 Aug · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1381
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dlask
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1472
FormLWWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolik🌟Rolik covers set handicap as underdog 66% (104)
Fair odds · Dlask
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H27-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-16)