3 Aug · 23:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1552
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Arkadiusz
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1453
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Arkadiusz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~81 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H40-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-24)