4 Aug · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1543
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mandrysz
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1478
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
🌟Strelec covers set handicap as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)