4 Aug · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1543
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pokorny
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1434
FormWWWLL
59%
41%
🌟Pros goes over total as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)