4 Aug · 11:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1471
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Volny
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1467
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Volny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (28)
Fair odds · Volny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H9-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.